Expanded public-finance evidence includes IMF WEO and Fiscal Monitor overall and primary balances, revenue, expenditure, gross/net debt and cyclically adjusted balances; historical IMF government finance; additional World Bank fiscal indicators; and Eurostat general-government financial stocks and deficit/surplus. Keep government sector, numerator, GDP versus potential-GDP denominator, signs, periods and source edition separate. IMF series include estimates/projections with no per-observation actual/estimate boundary; they are not government budget proposals. Deficits & surpluses defaults to a period no later than the current year. Use the annual reference-year filter and Inspect for full history.
Proposed / draft budgets and Enacted budget documents are source-title classifications. A published draft can later be enacted; its label is not a current legislative-status determination. Document year comes from title/URL, not collection time. Use the year filter for2026or2027materials. Source links include published US President budget proposals, Japan draft highlights and Philippines proposed-budget materials; coverage varies. Numeric totals in linked budget PDFs are not parsed.
Geopolitical Outlook → Country table now has a Shortage mentions ·30days column. Counts are canonical article URLs with matching source text for fuel, food, electricity, water, medicine and industrial inputs. Click counts or Browse all shortage mentions for source excerpts, types and7/30/90day/all-retained windows. Risk/forecast and denial/resolution wording remain labelled. Country-name/source-dossier associations are context, not verified shortage locations. Missing/undated coverage never becomes a no-shortage claim. Search-term/language and corpus bounds are exposed; this is not a risk-score input.
MCP: /agent/api/public-finance?view=deficits&country=US&year=2026 and /agent/api/shortage-mentions?view=records&category=fuel&days=30. Native source snapshots and record pagination differ from MCP field-page snapshots.
IMF DataMapper indicator metadata supplies dataset editions, definitions and denominators. World Bank WDI/GFS and Eurostat sectors retain their original scope. US Treasury monthly deficits use a positive-deficit convention; net lending/borrowing normally uses a negative-deficit convention. Primary balances exclude interest according to source definitions. Fiscal plans, enacted appropriations, outturns and macroeconomic projections are distinct.
Shortage/scarcity/rationing terms are matched near essential-supply terms, plus explicit blackout/load-shedding references. Metadata labels and URL paths are excluded from matching. Source text may describe risks, denial or resolution. Article URLs are deduplicated after tracking-parameter removal; syndicated stories on different URLs can remain. Selected-language search has incomplete coverage and no calibrated severity/probability. Original source dates are used; index/collection times are not substituted. Unassigned country references remain unassigned.